This paper constructs an intertemporal model of the spot and forward markets for foreign exchange and shows that in equilibrium the forward market is unbiased, i.e., the forward rate is equal to the expected spot rate which will prevail in the market next period. This holds true as long as the...

This paper constructs an intertemporal model of the spot and forward markets for foreign exchange and shows that in equilibrium the forward market is unbiased, i.e., the forward rate is equal to the expected spot rate which will prevail in the market next period. This holds true as long as the...

In this paper we present an intertemporal model of the spot and forward markets for foreign exchange. We analyze the implications of central bank interventions on the spot market for the risk premium in the currency forward market and discuss the consequences for the allocation of exchange rate...

This paper constructs an intertemporal model of the spot and forward markets for foreign exchange and shows that in equilibrium the forward market is unbiased, i.e., the forward rate is equal to the expected spot rate which will prevail in the market next period. This holds true as long as the...

This paper examines the optimal production and export decisions of an international firm facing exchange rate uncertainty when the firm's preferences exhibit smooth ambiguity aversion. Ambiguity is modeled by a second-order probability distribution that captures the firm's uncertainty about...

This paper examines the behavior of the regret-averse multinational firm under exchange rate uncertainty. The multinational firm simultaneously sells in the home market and exports to a foreign country. We characterize the multinational firm's regret-averse preferences by a modified utility...