The paper analyses the prediction of test cricket outcomes using an ordered response model. The results, based on data over the period 1994 to 1999, suggest that the ordered categorized production outcome of test cricket (win, draw, loss) can be explained by simple measures of the batting and...

The finance literature is replete with studies using the market model (MM) and the quadratic market model (QMM) as the return generating model. An alternative model, using the quadratic market model framework, was adopted by Barone-Adesi (1985) to test a two factor APT model related to the Three...

A number of studies exist across a range of equity markets showing that a significant proportion of stocks in those markets have betas that vary over time. A research challenge posed by this body of evidence is to identify the factors that explain this time variation in individual stock betas....

We investigate agency variation in credit quality assessment (Standard and Poor's vs. Moody's vs. Fitch) employing sovereign ratings data for 129 countries, spanning the period 1990-2006. While we find that the credit rating agencies often disagree about credit quality, it is usually confined to...

Recent studies have documented the growing economic and financial integration between countries. Among other things, this has led to the argument that greater integration results in higher bilateral correlations between returns on national stock markets. This study endeavours to link the two...

In this paper, an alternative method of estimating the systematic risk for Canadian stocks is presented and empirically investigated. The method proposed is applied to a set of data impacted by censoring - the presence of zero returns, which occurs in extreme cases of thin trading. The approach...

The issue of beta forecasting is explored using Australian stock returns data. A simple market model is fitted to individual stock data over the period 1983 to 1987 and the beta estimated from this sample is used to forecast the market model beta over the period 1988 to 1992. It is found that a...

This study uses a country beta market model and a multivariate GARCH conditional beta model to examine if German reunification has impacted upon country returns, across different nations. The results suggest a stronger reaction in European countries particularly those with closer economic links....