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This paper proposes a set of new methods to estimate inequality of opportunity based on conditional inference regression trees. It illustrates how these methods represent a substantial improvement over existing empirical approaches to measure inequality of opportunity. First, the new methods...
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We show that measures of inequality of opportunity fully consistent with Roemer (1998)'s inequality of opportunity theory can be straightforwardly estimated adopting a machine learning approach. Following Roemer, inequality of opportunity is generally defined as inequality between individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843883
We combine signal processing to machine learning methodologies by introducing a hybrid Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) model in order to forecast the monthly and daily Euro (EUR)/United States...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953778
In this paper, we present a forecasting model of bank failures based on machine-learning. The proposed methodology defines a linear decision boundary separating the solvent from the failed banks. This setup generates a novel alternative stress testing tool. Our sample of 1443 U.S. banks includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901035
In this paper, we investigate the forecasting ability of the yield curve in terms of the U.S. real GDP cycle. More specifically, within a Machine Learning (ML) framework, we use data from a variety of short (treasury bills) and long term interest rates (bonds) for the period from 1976:Q3 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905030
Recent advances in artificial intelligence are primarily driven by machine learning, a prediction technology. Prediction is useful because it is an input into decision-making. In order to appreciate the impact of artificial intelligence on jobs, it is important to understand the relative roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891318
In this paper, we approximate the empirical findings of Papadamou and Markopoulos (2012) on the NOK/USD exchange rate under a Machine Learning (ML) framework. By applying Support Vector Regression (SVR) on a general monetary exchange rate model and a Dynamic Evolving Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059819