Using logit-based financial statement analysis, Ou and Penman estimate an earnings predictor (Pr) that also predicts returns. We develop a forecasting model that purges measurement error (i.e., expected earnings) from the Ou and Penman proxy for the market's unexpected earnings. If market...

When analysts issue both earnings and pre-tax income forecasts, they implicitly provide a forecast of income tax expense. We find that these pre-tax income forecasts have a negative (positive) effect on corporate tax avoidance for firms with relatively aggressive (non-aggressive) tax policy. We...