uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan … of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial …

uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan … of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial …

We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14% …

We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the COVID-19 … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to COVID-19 to be about 14% …

We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the … in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in economic busts only. Such shocks explain about 13% of the variance … booms. Counterfactual simulations lead to the identification of a novel “economic policy uncertainty spillovers channel …