This paper uses a sample of 116 recession episodes in developed and emerging market economies to compare the labor-market recovery during financial crises with that of other recession episodes. It documents two new stylized facts. First, labor-market recovery from financial crises is...

This paper discusses three policy tools to mitigate jobless recoveries during financial crises: inflation, real currency depreciation, and credit-recovery policies. Using a sample of financial crises in Emerging Market economies, we document that large inflationary spikes appear to help...

This note is motivated by trying to understand the macroeconomic implications of assuming that periods of financial bonanza and turmoil are driven by financial innovation and collapse in line with the "bank run" literature of the Diamond-Dybvig (1983) variety. Bypassing a host of important but,...

Using a sample of emerging markets that are integrated into global bond markets, we analyze thecollapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings...

Intro -- Preface -- Introduction -- Part I - Early Rumblings -- Introduction to Part I -- 1 Capital Inflows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Latin America: The Role of External Factors - Guillermo A. Calvo, Leonardo Leiderman, and Carmen M. Reinhart -- 2 Capital Inflows to Latin America:...

Intro -- Contents -- Contributors -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- I Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Theory -- 1 Pricing-to-Market, the Interest-Rate Rule, and the Exchange Rate -- 2 Optimal Exchange RateRegimes: Turning Mundell-Fleming's Dictum on Its Head -- 3 Monetary Policy Rules,...

This paper shows that the Russian 1998 crisis had a big impact on capital flows to Emerging Market Economies, EMs, especially in Latin America, and that the impact of the Russian shock differs quite markedly across EMs. To illustrate this statement, we compare the polar cases of Chile and...

The paper discusses a model in which growth is a negative function of fiscal burden. Moreover, growth discontinuously switches from high to low as fiscal burden reaches a critical level. Growth collapse is associated with a Sudden Stop of capital inflows, real depreciation and a drop in output...

Sudden Stops are associated with increased volatility in relative prices. We introduce a model based on information acquisition to rationalize this increased volatility. An empirical analysis of the conditional variance of the wholesale price to consumer price ratio using panel ARCH techniques...

This BIS Paper discusses lessons provided by the global financial crisis for inflation targeting and financial stability. It contains selected presentations from the BIS-sponsored sessions at two Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) annual meetings: November 2008, in Rio de...