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average of real earnings is a good predictor of the present value of future real dividends. This is true even when the … value of future real dividends is roughly a weighted average of moving average earnings and current real price, with between …
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A linearization of a rational expectations present value model for corporate stock prices produces a simple relation between the log dividend-price ratio and mathematical expectations of future log real dividend changes and future real discount rates. This relation can be tested using vector...
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