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This chapter reviews the behavior of financial asset prices in relation to consumption. The chapter lists some important stylized facts that characterize US data, and relates them to recent developments in equilibrium asset pricing theory. Data from other countries are examined to see which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024221
We show that the stock market downturns of 2000-2002 and 2007-2009 have very different proximate causes. The early 2000's saw a large increase in the discount rates applied to profits by rational investors, while the late 2000's saw a decrease in rational expectations of future profits. We reach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128421
We show that the stock market downturns of 2000-2002 and 2007-2009 have very different proximate causes. The early 2000's saw a large increase in the discount rates applied to profits by rational investors, while the late 2000's saw a decrease in rational expectations of future profits. We reach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002159369
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003822202
The long-run risks model of asset prices explains stock price variation as a response to persistent fluctuations in the mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal substitution. This paper documents several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463859
We empirically decompose the S&P 500's dividend yield into (1) a rational forecast of long-run real dividend growth, (2) the subjectively expected risk premium, and (3) residual mispricing attributed to the market's forecast of dividend growth deviating from the rational forecast. Modigliani and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468430
The long-run risks model of asset prices explains stock price variation as a response to persistent fluctuations in the mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal substitution. This paper documents several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
We empirically decompose the S&P 500's dividend yield into (1) a rational forecast of long-run real dividend growth, (2) the subjectively expected risk premium, and (3) residual mispricing attributed to the market's forecast of dividend growth deviating from the rational forecast. Modigliani and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133237
Using a large representative sample of Indian retail equity investors, many of them new to the stock market, we show that recent investment experiences affect portfolio composition. Because investors are imperfectly diversified, cross-sectional variation in their investment experiences allows us...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065058