We take a simple time-series approach to modeling and forecasting daily average temperature in U.S. cities, and we …, strong conditional variance dynamics, in daily average temperature, and it reveals sharp differences between the distribution … of temperature and the distribution of temperature surprises. As we argue, it also holds promise for producing the long …

We take a simple time-series approach to modeling and forecasting daily average temperature in U.S. cities, and we …, strong conditional variance dynamics, in daily average temperature, and it reveals sharp differences between the distribution … of temperature and the distribution of temperature surprises. As we argue, it also holds promise for producing the long …

We take a simple time-series approach to modeling and forecasting daily average temperature in U.S. cities, and we …, strong conditional variance dynamics, in daily average temperature, and it reveals sharp differences between the distribution … of temperature and the distribution of temperature surprises. As we argue, it also holds promise for producing the long …