Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Onorante, Luca; Paesani, Paolo - 2009
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly … introduction of the euro and resulting in lower long-run uncertainty. It also appears that the direction of causality has been …