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This article revisits the key issue raised by researchers who have empirically investigated the behaviour of short term US interest rates during the period 1890-1933. The seminal article of Mankiw, Miron and Weil (1987) argues that changes in the behaviour of nominal interest rates is best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992306
A time series measure of expectations is used to demonstrate the existence of an inverse relationship between inflation and real stock prices, even after controlling for output shocks. This provides some evidence against Fama's famous conjecture (Fama, E., 1981, Stock returns, real activity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009206815
Utlizing Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration testing procedure, we find a cointegrating vector between the outputs of five major industrialized nations for the fixed exchange rate period. However, this relationship breaks down for the flexible exchange rate era. We argue that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195828