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Venice (Italy) is built on several islands inside a lagoon. It undergoes a periodical �ooding phenomenon, called "Acqua Alta" (AA). A system of mobile dams, called Mo.S.E., is currently under construction to protect it. When needed, several fl�oodgates will be lifted to separate the lagoon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258762
has begun to examine MGARCH specifications in terms of their out-of-sample forecasting performance. In this paper, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876624
Weather derivatives have become very popular tools in weather risk management in recent years. One of the elements supporting their diffusion has been the increase in volatility observed on many energy markets. Among the several available contracts, Quanto options are now becoming very popular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876631
In modelling and forecasting volatility, two main trade-offs emerge: mathematical tractability versus economic … implemented. The increased availability of high-frequency data provides new tools for forecasting variances and covariances … between assets. However, there is scant literature on forecasting more than one realised volatility. Following Gourieroux …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008924998
HAR components in the model improve the point forecasting accuracy while the introduction of asymmetric effects only leads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021695
It is well-known that the estimated GARCH dynamics exhibit common patterns. Starting from this fact we extend the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model by allowing for a cluster- ing structure of the univariate GARCH parameters. The model can be estimated in two steps, the first devoted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025296
begun to examine MGARCH specifications in terms of their out-of-sample forecasting performance. In this paper, we provide an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009141351
begun to examine MGARCH specifications in terms of their out-of-sample forecasting performance. In this paper, we provide an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009141597
Contrary to the common wisdom that asset prices are hardly possible to forecast, we show that high and low prices of equity shares are largely predictable. We propose to model them using a simple implementation of a fractional vector autoregressive model with error correction (FVECM). This model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367192
Contrary to the common wisdom that asset prices are barely possible to forecast, we show that that high and low prices of equity shares are largely predictable. We propose to model them using a simple implementation of a fractional vector autoregressive model with error correction (FVECM). This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010687539