Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2024
regressions for macro applications, for example, choices related to how and to what extent to include shrinkage, and whether to … apply shrinkage in a classical or Bayesian framework. We focus on forecasting accuracy, using for evaluation both quantile … tail. Across a range of applications, we find that shrinkage is generally helpful to quantile forecast accuracy, with …