Showing 1 - 10 of 503
Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment … of the 2-year ahead forecast error of the Canadian unemployment rate in periods of slack vs. just 2% during economic … of the latter, lead to a temporary increase in the Canadian unemployment rate. Evidence of asymmetric spillover effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market … performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states - employment and unemployment … that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360089
This paper studies collective contests with endogenous cost sharing, general effort costs and intra-group heterogeneity of prize-valuation. Our objective is to clarify the relationship between cost sharing, intra-group heterogeneity within the competing groups and the elasticity of the marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361496
This paper studies the relationship between the change in the unemployment rate and output growth using an approach … recessions. The framework also highlights the potential misspecification in conventional models of Okun's Law unless stringent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940045
This paper examines whether unemployment of non-western immigrant workers in the Netherlands was disproportionally … affected by the Great Recession. We analyze unemployment data covering the period November 2007 to February 2013 finding that … the Great Recession affected unemployment rates of non-western immigrant workers in absolute terms more than unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010125847
In the past decades several features of U.S. unemployment dynamics have been investigated empirically. The original … focus of research was on the duration of unemployment. In later studies the cyclicality of incidence and duration …, compositional effects and duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment have been investigated. Unlike the partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336863
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
We investigate whether recoveries following normal recessions differ from recoveries following recessions that are … level of output during the recovery, we find that normal recessions are followed by strong recoveries in advanced economies …. This bounce-back is absent following recessions associated with banking crises and housing crises. Consequently, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472544
We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676
We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235107