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How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by … conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty … particular, an increase in financial uncertainty is found to trigger a negative and significant response of both short and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223881
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by … conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty … particular, an increase in financial uncertainty is found to trigger a negative and significant response of both short and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052803
In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward looking Phillips curves estimated across two different exchange rate regimes. The time series we deal with come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis. The statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345284
In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward-looking Phillips curves estimated over two different exchange rate regimes. The pseudo-data employed in our econometric exercise come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076797
-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature … focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure … of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202548
of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial … uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884396
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337967
common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial … production series for the US economy. Our results indicate that common uncertainty and uncertainty linked to nondurable goods … both recorded their pre-pandemic global peaks during the 1973-75 recession. In contrast, durable goods uncertainty recorded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419275