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We employ a structural VAR model with global and US variables to study the relevance and transmission of oil, food commodities, and industrial input price shocks. We show that commodities are not all alike. Industrial input price changes are almost entirely endogenous responses to other shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550949
In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward looking Phillips curves estimated across two different exchange rate regimes. The time series we deal with come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis. The statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345284
In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward-looking Phillips curves estimated over two different exchange rate regimes. The pseudo-data employed in our econometric exercise come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076797
-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature … focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure … of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202548
of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial … uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884396
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337967
common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial … production series for the US economy. Our results indicate that common uncertainty and uncertainty linked to nondurable goods … both recorded their pre-pandemic global peaks during the 1973-75 recession. In contrast, durable goods uncertainty recorded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419275
uncertainty and skewness. Embedding these measures in a VAR framework, we show that unexpected changes in uncertainty are … response of skewness to uncertainty shocks shows that skewness substantially amplifies the recessionary effects of uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440379
The purpose of the present paper is to describe the role of uncertainty and technical change in an environmental … context. Which impact does ecological uncertainty have on physical and R&D investments' decisions? How are pollution … trajectories modified when uncertainty is taken into account? To reply to these questions we modify the ETC-RICE model described in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608823