replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast … are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data set for the … that progress can be explained predominantly by improved intuition. …

that numerical forecasts can be decomposed into both an econometric model and random expert intuition. We show that the … intuition, and the current and lagged correlations between intuition and news (or shocks to the numerical forecasts). It follows …

component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non …-replicable. . Learning from previous mistakes can affect both the replicable component of a model as well as intuition. If learning, and …-economic forecast updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data …

component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non …-replicable. . Learning from previous mistakes can affect both the replicable component of a model as well as intuition. If learning, and …-economic forecast updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data …

Macro-economic forecasts typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is … non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast … updates for Taiwan are progressive, and can be explained predominantly by intuition. Additionally, the one-, two- and three …

intuition. The interpretation of the sign of the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions depends on the … process governing intuition, and the correlation between intuition and news. …

intuition. The interpretation of the sign of the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions depends on the … process governing intuition, and the correlation between intuition and news. …

intuition. The interpretation of the sign of the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions depends on the … process governing intuition, and the correlation between intuition and news. …

intuition. The interpretation of the sign of the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions depends on the … process governing intuition, and the correlation between intuition and news. …

Macro-economic forecasts typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is … non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast … updates for Taiwan are progressive, and can be explained predominantly by intuition. Additionally, the one-, two- and three …