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containing information on real economic activity, inflation, interest rates and Divisia monetary aggregates produces the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401309
This paper proposes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that endoge­nously generates inflation persistence … contrast with traditional sticky price models, the framework yields inflation inertia, a delayed effect of monetary policy … shocks on inflation, and the observed "reverse dynamic" correlation between inflation and economic activity …
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The U.S. business cycle expansion that started in March 1991 is the longest on record. This paper uses statistical techniques to examine whether this expansion is a onetime unique event or whether its length is a result of a change in the stability of the U.S. economy. Bayesian methods are used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283318
We develop a dynamic factor model with Markov switching to examine secular and business cycle fluctuations in U.S. unemployment rates. We extract the common dynamics among unemployment rates disaggregated for seven age groups. The framework allows analysis of the contribution of demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283393
This chapter discusses formal quantitative algorithms that can be used to identify business cycle turning points. An intuitive, graphical derivation of these algorithms is presented along with a description of how they can be implemented making very minimal distributional assumptions. We also...
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