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This study investigates the usefulness and efficacy of a multiobjective decision method for financial trading guided by a set of seemingly diverse analysts' forecasts. The paper proposes a goal programming (GP) approach which combines various forecasts based on the performance of their previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735690
Predicting currency movements has always been a problematic task as most conventional econometric models are not able to forecast exchange rates with significantly higher accuracy than a naive random walk model. For large multinational firms which conduct substantial currency transfers in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735715
Despite abundant research which focuses on estimating the level of return on stock market index, there is a lack of studies examining the predictability of the direction/sign of stock index movement. Given the notion that a prediction with little forecast error does not necessarily translate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735716
In the last decade, neural networks have drawn noticeable attention from many computer and operations researchers. While some previous studies have found encouraging results with using this artificial intelligence technique to predict the movements of established financial markets, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739205
Although there exists some studies which deal with the issues of forecasting stock market index and development of trading strategies, most of the empirical findings are associated with the developed financial markets (e.g., U.S., U.K., and Japan). Currently, many international investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783943
Although there exists a vast number of articles addressing the predictability of stock market return, most of the proposed models rely on accurate forecasting of the level (i.e., value) of the underlying stock index or its return. In most cases, the degree of accuracy and the acceptability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783954