A growing body of threshold models has been developed over the past two decades to capture the nonlinear movement of financial time series. Most of these models, however, contain a single threshold variable only. In many empirical applications, models with two or more threshold variables are...

This paper develops a new investor sentiment index for the Chinese stock market. The index is constructed via the principal component approach (PCA), taking six important economic and market factors into consideration. The sentiment index serves as a threshold variable in a threshold...

This paper investigates the duration dependence of the US stock market cycles. A new classification method for bull and bear market regimes based on the crossing of the market index and its moving average is proposed. We show evidence of duration dependence in whole cycles. The half cycles,...