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This article provides economic and statistical tools to analyze oil derivatives markets, and more especially the “peak” in prices recorded in July-August 2008. The main explanations of the literature are summarized, by emphasizing current trends. Overall, this article highlights a new...
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This paper uses the E-simulate model of electricity generation to estimate how much the stacking order of different technologies changes when a carbon price is introduced. Different coal and gas price scenarios are explored, and some sensitivity analysis is made of the relative market share of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708763
This article investigates the impact of news concerning the development of emissions trading in Australia (such as the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS)) on wholesale electricity spot prices, by using a database of 117 news announcements from December 1, 1998 to July 1, 2009. As power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708957
Cet article propose une revue des études économétriques récentes ayant fait usage des statistiques désagrégées de la Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) aux Etats-Unis concernant les positions ouvertes sur les marchés dérivés du pétrole par type d'acteur. La distinction plus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073063
This article brings new insights on the role played by (implied) volatility on the WTI crude oil spot price. An increase in the volatility subsequent to an increase in the oil price (i.e. inverse leverage effect) remains the dominant effect as it might reflect the fear of oil consumers to face...
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This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189497