Showing 1 - 8 of 8
As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796417
This article analyzes the interactions between the electricity and CO2 (carbon) markets. In particular, we describe the dynamics of the fuel-switching price (from coal to gas) when taking into account carbon costs. Several stochastic processes are considered to model the fuel-switching price:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010766054
Mastering the underlying characteristics of carbon price changes can help governments formulate correct policies to keep efficient operation of carbon markets, and investors take effective measures to evade their investment risks. Empirical mode decomposition (EMD), a self-adaption data analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860471
The aim of this research is to examine the structural changes of European carbon futures price under the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) during 2005-2012. More speci fically, by relying on the daily EU allowance (EUA) futures contract, we investigate the structural changes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860508
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by us- ing the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to ex- plain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860537
This article adopts the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) model developed by Vargas (2008), by updating the concept of ‘volatility surprise’ to capture cross-market relationships. Current methods for measuring spillovers do not focus on volatility interactions, and neglect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891079
In this paper, we review the extant mathematical and environmental economics literatures on the stochastic properties of CO2 emission allowance futures prices. We explain the main findings arising from this literature from both continuous- and jump-diffusion models. Based on the Activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891126
This article investigates the European carbon futures price dynamics by applying the Zipf analysis. The results show that: first, carbon price behaviour is asymmetric, and the long-term bearish probability is greater than the long-term bullish probability. Second, time-scales of investment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754734