This paper analyses the cyclical behaviour of the German annual aggregate wage earnings over 179 years. Our results show that there are transitory exogenous shocks which contain predictive information for aggregate wages in a non-linear framework.

Accurate prediction of Bitcoin prices is a purported boon for risky investors, more so, if the forecasts are largely unconditional. This paper introduces a class of autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average model with asymmetric exponential generalized autoregressive score errors to...

This paper aims to study, in the most recent historical time period, the efficiency of the Paris Stock Exchange market. We test its weak form while analysing the stock exchange returns series by nonparametric methods, using kernel methodology in particular. In doing so, our approach extends the...

This article applies nonparametric methods to the monthly monetary stock time series of the Reichsbank, constructed in weekly data, with 2160 observations, covering the time period January 1876 to December 1920. Our analysis begins with a historical description followed by a cliometric application.