This paper contributes to the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) and excess consumption smoothness debate in the context of fractional integration. We show that the excess consumption smoothness result is a consequence of the quarterly data frequency commonly employed in empirical work. In fact,...

We formulate and solve a Rational Expectations New Keynesian macro model that implies non-linear cross-equation restrictions on the dynamics of inflation, the output gap and the Federal funds rate. Our maximum likelihood estimation procedure fully imposes these restrictions and yields asymptotic...

This article complements the structural New-Keynesian macro framework with a no-arbitrage affine term structure model. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with an unobservable time varying inflation target and the natural rate of output which are filtered from...

This paper shows that the concept of Expectational stability (E-stability) in a multivariate framework is inherently model-dependent. Whereas a Rational Expectations equilibrium (REE) is subject to model-specific parameter restrictions from the economic model at hand, a perceived law of motion...

This paper presents a small-sample study of the threeequation- three variable New-Keynesian macro model. While the point estimates imply that the Fed has been stabilizing inflation fluctuations since 1980, our econometric analysis suggests considerable uncertainty regarding the stance of the Fed...

This paper derives a recursive method and the corresponding forward solution for linear Rational Expectations (RE) models in the class of fundamental solutions. Our recursive method is a generalization of the traditional forward method of recursive substitution when predetermined variables are...