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The consensus economic policy framework that evolved in the post-Bretton Woods era and the model of globalization to which it gave rise are in crisis due to political blowback. The framework has guided the system into a solution space that features stagnant growth and persistent deflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956819
The emerging data-driven economy (DDE) promises to intensify the distributional issues that have contributed to disruptive political change in recent years. This raises the question of whether there a solution space in this economy that allows markets to clear and societies to maintain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911239
Canada's trade diversification drive confronts daunting challenges given that economic geography places it deep in the gravity well of the United States while its main diversification opportunities require partnership with the US' chief geostrategic rival, China. In this note, I sketch out how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849443
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148209
Canada is developing a progressive trade agenda (PTA) that is pitched as a response to the rise of anti-globalization populism. This note reviews the concept of the PTA, its motivation, the specific elements that comprise it, the likely efficacy of these measures in addressing the factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932451
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) promises to have a modest impact on Canada, according to ground breaking research from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Better in than Out? Canada and the Trans-Pacific Partnership,” authors Dan Ciuriak, Ali Dadkhah, and Jingliang Xiao, find that some sectors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993987
The early years of the global recovery from the bout of emerging market crises of the late 1990s and the bursting of the internet/technology bubble in 2000-2001 were marked by abnormal macroeconomic conditions. Ken Rogoff, then Chief Economist of the IMF, introduced the IMF's Fall 2003 World...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147628
Latin AmericaÂ’s trade relationships have been severely strained by the series of uncoordinated currency depreciations within the region since the Asian Crisis spilled over into Brazil in 1999 and by large swings in G-3 exchange rates. Large depreciations, whether forced by capital markets or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041619
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122993
The computable general equilibrium model has become the workhorse tool for assessing the impacts of bilateral trade liberalization. This paper draws on recent experience within Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada in modeling the impacts of potential free trade agreements with various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198214