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with price stability. Because stable prices are essential to maximum long-term economic growth and living standards, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005501260
with price stability. Because stable prices are essential to maximum long-term economic growth and living standards, the … first examines the behavior of inflation over the past year, showing that sharp increases in food and energy prices caused … most overall inflation measures to rise, while inflation in nonfood and nonenergy prices slowed. Second, he shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005373355
Should the unanticipated slowing of inflation that has occurred since early 2012 raise doubts about the reliability of inflation forecasts? We answer this question by conducting a few exercises with a common macroeconomic forecasting model. Our results indicate that even though inflation turned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010726427
The concept of trend inflation is important in making accurate inflation forecasts. However, there is little consensus on how the trend in inflation should be modeled. While some studies suggest a survey-based measure of long-run inflation expectations as a good empirical proxy for trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681636
From 1975 to 1980, inflation in core (nonfood and nonenergy) consumer prices rose sharply as crude oil prices more than … tripled. Yet, as crude oil prices quadrupled from late 2001 to 2007, core consumer price inflation remained essentially flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005499181
price changes. The rationale is that unusual changes, such as the 14.2 percent increase in energy prices last year (December … to December) or the 18 percent jump in tobacco prices from November to December 1998, are unlikely to be related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005501213
In setting monetary policy in 1995, the Federal Reserve sought to promote sustainable economic growth and continued progress toward price stability. Toward those ends, the Federal Reserve adjusted the stance of monetary policy three times in 1995. In February, amid signs of increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005501305
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005515047
potential for deflation have noted the sharp contrast between goods and services prices. Excluding food and energy, goods prices … nonenergy services prices rose nearly 2½ percent last year. Moreover, goods inflation has fallen sharply over the past decade or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005713272
goods. For example, inflation in intermediate goods prices rose from 2.6 percent annually in the first half of 1994 to 7 … less than 3 percent. Many analysts are concerned that recent increases in the prices of crude and intermediate goods may be … expected to move through the production chain, leading to increases in consumer prices. A review of basic economic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005501306