We study the impact of graduating in a recession in Flanders (Belgium), i.e. in a rigid labor market. In the presence of a high minimum wage, a typical recession hardly influences the hourly wage of low educated men, but reduces working time and earnings by about 4.5% up to twelve years after...

In Belgium welfare agencies are subsidized to employ welfare recipients for a period sufficiently long to entitle them to benefits of the contributory social insurance program. This type of employment is called Social Employment (SE). This paper investigates the effect of SE on the exit rate...

In this paper, we investigate what causes the aggregate exit rate out of unemployment estimated in Wallonia (Belgium) to decline over duration and to vary over calendar time. For that purpose, we specify a mixed proportional hazard (MPH) model where the mixing distribution depends on seasons and...

In this paper we analyse transition data by means of the minimum chi-square (MCS) method in stead of the more commonly used maximum likelihood (ML) method. The method requires a very large dataset with relatively little information on determining factors. If such data are available, the MCS...

In this paper, we study the effect of subsidised on-the-job training, training for the unemployed and pure wage subsidies on the probability of leaving an employer. We base the analysis on a sample of unemployed workers who have been hired during the 1991-92 period. Since individuals benefiting...

In this paper we estimate, for the 1989-93 period in Belgium, the effect of vocational classroom training on the rate of transition out of unemployment. We show that rationing of the demand for training increases the unemployment duration of non-participants, an effect neglected in programme...

A first objective of this paper is to emphasise the role of a correct diagnosis of unemployment persistence for the design of effective active labour market policies. A second is to stress the importance of adequate incentives for programme administrators of active labour market policies, and...

Le Plan d'Accompagnement et de Suivi des chômeurs (PAS), mis en oeuvre en Belgique depuis juillet 2004, combine encouragements et menaces de sanctions. D'un côté, il vise à renforcer l'aide à la recherche d'emploi, l'offre de formations et d'autres politiques actives. De l'autre, l'effort...

L’article 80 impose, sous certaines conditions, une fin de droit à l’indemnité aux chômeurs cohabitants de longue durée. A l’heure où il est question de le supprimer, ce numéro présente les résultats d’une étude qui a évalué l’efficacité de l’article 80 par rapport à son...

Het Plan voor de begeleiding en de opvolging van werklozen, dat in juli 2004 in België ingevoerd werd, combineert stimuli en sancties. Het is enerzijds gericht op een betere begeleiding van de zoektocht naar werk, een beter opleidingsaanbod en andere activeringsmaatregelen. Anderzijds wordt het...