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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604336
determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The … types of staggered contracts specifications which induce quite different degrees of inflation persistence. The paper shows … that inflation persistence is high when uncertainty about the prevailing degree of inflation persistence is pervasive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319561
euro area and Japanese inflation dynamics are best explained by Taylor-style contracts, while Buiter …-Jewitt/Fuhrer-Moore contracts perform somewhat better in fitting U.S. inflation dynamics. We are unable to fit Calvo-style contracts to inflation … backward-looking element. The completed model matches inflation and output dynamics in the United States, the euro area and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320199
The paper subjects seven structural DSGE models, all used heavily by policymaking institutions, to discretionary fiscal stimulus shocks using seven different fiscal instruments, and compares the results to those of two prominent academic DSGE models. There is considerable agreement across models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399100
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the … inflation target and produce a quantitatively significant deterioration of the performance of the economy with targets between 0 … and 1 percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298238
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of monetary policy in a severe recession and deflation when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero. We compare two alternative proposals for ameliorating the effect of the zero bound: an exchange-rate peg and price-level targeting. We conduct this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298286
is derived from policy-makers' preferences about inflation outcomes, we first show that downside risks to price stability … future inflation can provide insurance against the materialisation of such upside risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326666
empirical work is illustrated by two applications to euro area data on inflation, output and interest rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604055
alternative monetary policy strategies. We focus on the relationship between output and inflation and investigate the fit of the … reject the nominal contracting model in favor of the relative contracting model which induces more inflation persistence, we … in countries which transitioned out of a high inflation regime such as France and Italy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604076
This paper shows that money can play an important role as an information variable when initial output data are measured with error and subject to revision. Using an estimated model of the euro area we find that current output estimates may be substantially improved by including money growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604130