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" prices) using data on prices and quantities sold for numerous retailers across many US metropolitan areas. Inflation in the … effective prices paid by consumers declines significantly with higher unemployment while little change occurs in the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188460
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized … controlled trial. We first solicit individuals’ inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight … different forms of information regarding inflation. Reading the actual Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement has about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018155
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households’ expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269439
. They also expect lower future inflation, report higher uncertainty, expect lower mortgage rates for up to 10 years, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269902
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270033
We use a large-scale representative survey of households from October 19-21 that elicits respondents' expectations about the presidential election's outcome as well as their economic expectations to document several new facts. First, people disagree strongly about the likely outcome of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322622
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive … observing how they revise their expectations about future inflation as well as taxes and government spending. We find that … information about the current debt or deficit levels has little impact on inflation expectations but that news about future debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498015
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive … observing how they revise their expectations about future inflation as well as taxes and government spending. We find that … information about the current debt or deficit levels has little impact on inflation expectations but that news about future debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581968
We assess whether central banks may use inflation expectations as a policy tool for stabilization purposes. We review … suggests that inflation expectations of households and firms affect their actions but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear …, especially for firms. Two additional limitations prevent policy-makers from being able to actively manage inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624293
Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we … study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We … find that as disagreement increases, so does misallocation. In times of low inflation, the aggregate TFP loss of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296850