Showing 1 - 10 of 94
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863632
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864876
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865956
We implement a survey-based randomized information treatment that generates independent variation in the inflation … expectations and the uncertainty about future inflation of European households. This variation allows us to assess how both first … and second moments of inflation expectations separately affect subsequent household decisions. We document several key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069388
Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we … study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We … find that as disagreement increases, so does misallocation. In times of low inflation, the aggregate TFP loss of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296850
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized … controlled trial. We first solicit individuals’ inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight … different forms of information regarding inflation. Reading the actual Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement has about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018155
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141135
of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180172
We use a repeated large-scale survey of households in the Nielsen Homescan panel to characterize how labor markets are being affected by the covid-19 pandemic. We document several facts. First, job loss has been significantly larger than implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207820
of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207883