. The paper begins with a discussion of causal mechanisms linking economic conditions to crime and violence, both overall … and for youths. We investigate the effect of short-term fluctuations in economic activity on crime and violence (and on …The paper analyzes the causal effects of the business cycle on crime. Among the main conclusions are that robbery and …

The epidemic of youth violence in the United States peaked in 1993 and has been followed by a rapid, sustained drop. In … youth violence has been narrowly confined with respect to race, sex, and age, but not geography. Given the volatility in the … rates of juvenile violence, forecasting rates is a risky business indeed. Effectively narrowing the range of plausible …

The epidemic of youth violence in the United States peaked in 1993 and has been followed by a rapid, sustained drop. In … youth violence has been narrowly confined with respect to race, sex, and age, but not geography. Given the volatility in the … rates of juvenile violence, forecasting rates is a risky business indeed. Effectively narrowing the range of plausible …

, robberies, arrests and confiscated crime guns. We find evidence of considerable frictions in the underground market for guns in …