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concerning whether the series being examined is I(0) or I(1), so that a sort of circular testing problem exists. In this paper … circular testing problem that arises when choosing data transformation and the order of integratedness. In particular, we …-levels specifications in the presence of deterministic and/or stochastic trends. Second, we note that even if pre-testing is not undertaken …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075928
in the theory of the bootstrap, Kolmogorov type testing, and other work on the evaluation of DSGEs, aimed at comparing … illustrative examples are also given, in which the testing approach is applied to different real business cycle models. It is shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075932
tests usually leads to sequential testing bias, which in turn leads to jump discovery with probability one, in the limit … long-span asymptotics, which solve both the test consistency and the sequential testing bias problems discussed above, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396835
Forecast accuracy is typically measured in terms of a given loss function. However, as a consequence of the use of misspecified models in multiple model comparisons, relative forecast rankings are loss function dependent. This paper addresses this issue by using a novel criterion for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396839
In this paper, we show the first order validity of the block bootstrap in the context of Kolmogorov type conditional distribution tests when there is dynamic misspecification and parameter estimation error. Our approach differs from the literature to date because we construct a bootstrap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263212
in the theory of the bootstrap, Kolmogorov type testing, and other work on the evaluation of DSGEs, aimed at comparing … illustrative example is also given, in which the testing approach is applied to a real business cycle model. It is shown that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263218
This paper introduces bootstrap specification tests for diffusion processes. In the one-dimensional case, the proposed test is closest to the non parametric test introduced by Ait-Sahalia (1996), in the sense that both procedures determine whether the drift and variance components of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263219
concerning whether the series being examined is I(0) or I(1), so that a sort of circular testing problem exists. In this paper … circular testing problem that arises when choosing data transformation and order of integratedness. In particular, we propose a … the presence of deterministic and/or stochastic trends. Second, we note that even if pre-testing is not undertaken to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263220
Forecast accuracy is typically measured in terms of a given loss function. However, as a consequence of the use of misspecified models in multiple model comparisons, relative forecast rankings are loss function dependent. This paper addresses this issue by using a novel criterion for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527192
consistent estimators of "true" factors. Hence, various recent research papers in the diffusion index literature focus on testing … illustration by testing for the structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models for 11 U.S. macroeconomic indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766692