Global developments play an important role in domestic inflation rates. Previous literature has found that a substantial amount of the variation in a large set of national inflation rates can be explained by a single global factor. However, inflation volatility has been typically neglected,...

Motivated by the events of the Great Recession, we estimate a time-varying structural VAR model with labor market variables to analyze the effects of a financial shock, focusing on the US. Our results point out that a tightening of financial conditions is highly detrimental for the labor market....

This paper provides evidence of de-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area based on both time series and panel methods and data from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters. Long-term inflation expectations recorded two sharp and permanent declines: the first after the...