In the new situation with flexible exchange rates, monetary policy in Europe will have to rely more on indicators than previously under fixed rates. One of the potential indicators, the forward interest rate curve, can be used to indicate market expectations of the time-paths of future short...

We develop a two-country, two-sector general equilibrium business cycle model with nominal rigidities featuring deviations from the law of one price. The paper shows that a model with these features can quantitatively account for the empirical fact that of the statistical properties of most...

Much has been written about prospects for U.S. current account adjustment, including the possibility of what is sometimes referred to as a disorderly correction: a sharp fall in the exchange rate that boosts interest rates, depresses stock prices, and weakens economic activity. This paper...