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This paper examines the consequences of using "real-time" data for business cycle analysis in Germany based on a novel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295638
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295798
We analyze the interaction of stock market movements and politics in Germany. In contrast to the empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260493
Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are unbiased and weakly, but not strongly efficient. Besides the effect of diverging forecasting dates, no other substantial differences in forecasting quality are found among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675
We establish some stylised facts for Germany's business cycle at the level of the firm. Based on longitudinal firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295768
four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). As opposed to the benchmark rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295782
The paper analyses the recent supply side developments in France, Germany, and Italy by employing a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295797
We analyse stylised facts for Germany's business cycle at the firm level. Based on longitudinal firm-level data from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295818
patterns similar to those found in aggregated data for Germany. Also, smaller firms and firms that grow faster are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295829
trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295884