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Zur Qualität von Konjunkturprognosen für Westdeutschland 1976 - 1994

Döpke, Jörg; Langfeldt, Enno - 1995

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000533863

Great moderation at the firm level? : unconditional versus conditional output volatility

Buch, Claudia M. (contributor); Döpke, Jörg (contributor); … - 2008

trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729690

Sticky information Phillips curves : European evidence

Döpke, Jörg; Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; … - 2008

professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432

Capital, labour and productivity : what role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?

Bassanetti, Antonio; Döpke, Jörg; Torrini, Roberto; … - 2006

The paper analyses the recent supply side developments in France, Germany, and Italy by employing a non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304964

Real-time macroeconomic data and ex ante predictability of stock returns

Döpke, Jörg (contributor); Hartmann, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003304970

Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time

Döpke, Jörg (contributor); Hartmann, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444

Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009

Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919420

Predicting recessions in Germany with boosted regression trees

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2015 - First version: October 2015

We use a machine-learning approach known as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to reexamine the usefulness of selected leading indicators for predicting recessions. We estimate the BRT approach on German data and study the relative importance of the indicators and their marginal effects on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381289

Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function

Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009

Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425865

The dynamics of European inflation expectations

Döpke, Jörg; Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; … - 2006

European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367