Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …

We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised …

Moderationʺ can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility using … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …

Moderation? can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …

;Great Moderationquot; can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …

This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data … the future stance of the business cycle and on the volatility of industrial production. The results of our empirical … investigation lead us to reject the hypothesis that financial market volatility causes the cycle or real volatility. …

We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is … that the statistical and economic value of volatility forecasts based on real-time data is comparable to the value of …