) firm-level subjective uncertainty at one-year forecast horizons. Second, looking within the distribution of beliefs in the …We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty … uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the one-year VIX has moved similarly to our survey-based measure of (average …

-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …

-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …

-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …

-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …

) firm-level subjective uncertainty at one-year forecast horizons. Second, looking within the distribution of beliefs in the …We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty … uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the one-year VIX has moved similarly to our survey-based measure of (average …

ideological divide, the US seems destined to heightened levels of policy uncertainty for many years to come. Some research … suggests that such uncertainty, particularly over economic policy, partly explains the sluggish nature of the recovery in … America – and - according to one recent study, restoring policy uncertainty to levels that prevailed before the financial …

ideological divide, the US seems destined to heightened levels of policy uncertainty for many years to come. Some research … suggests that such uncertainty, particularly over economic policy, partly explains the sluggish nature of the recovery in … America - and - according to one recent study, restoring policy uncertainty to levels that prevailed before the financial …

We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the United States and the UK before and during the COVID-19 … pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic … uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and disagreement among professional forecasters about future …

We quantify and study state-level economic policy uncertainty. Tapping digital archives for nearly 3,500 local … newspapers, we construct three monthly indexes for each state: one that captures state and local sources of policy uncertainty … uncertainty much more than the average election. The COVID-19 pandemic drove huge increases in policy uncertainty and unemployment …