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Regional heterogeneity and US presidential elections : real-time 2020 forecasts and evaluation

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Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

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This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781626