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unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient … Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011241751
unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient … Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011241753
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958800
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298290
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126708
to density forecasting, and density forecast evaluation with known loss function. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512361
Broadly defined, macroeconomic forecasting is alive and well. Nonstructural forecasting, which is based largely on … reduced-form correlations, has always been well and continues to improve. Structural forecasting, which aligns itself with … forecasting is poised for resurgence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512391
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513015