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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544443
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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545165
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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628398
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Quantifying Time-Varying Forecast Uncertainty and Risk for the Real Price of Oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795319
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Bayesian forecasting of value at risk and expected shortfall using adaptive importance sampling
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774522
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Possibly ill-behaved posteriors in econometric models
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2008
Highly non-elliptical posterior distributions may occur in several econometric models, in particular, when the likelihood information is allowed to dominate and data information is weak. We explain the issue of highly non-elliptical posteriors in a model for the effect of education on income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374406
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Bayesian forecasting of value at risk and expected shortfall using adaptive importance sampling
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2008
An efficient and accurate approach is proposed for forecasting Value at Risk [VaR] and Expected Shortfall [ES] measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377096
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Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination : the Deco Matlab Toolbox
Casarin, Roberto; Grassi, Stefano; Ravazzolo, Francesco; … - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730084
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Instrumental variables, errors in variables, and simultaneous equations models : applicability and limitations of direct Monte Carlo
Zellner, Arnold; Ando, Tomohiro; Basturk, Nalan; … - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720744