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Highly non-elliptical posterior distributions may occur in several econometric models, in particular, when the likelihood information is allowed to dominate and data information is weak. We explain the issue of highly non-elliptical posteriors in a model for the effect of education on income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374406
Increasingly, professional forecasters and academic researchers present model-based and subjective or judgment-based forecasts in economics which are accompanied by some measure of uncertainty. In its most complete form this measure is a probability density function for future values of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895935
Highly non-elliptical posterior distributions may occur in several econometric models, in particular, when the likelihood information is allowed to dominate and data information is weak. We explain the issue of highly non-elliptical posteriors in a model for the effect of education on income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255771
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706627
Highly non-elliptical posterior distributions may occur in several econometric models, in particular, when the likelihood information is allowed to dominate and data information is weak. We explain the issue of highly non-elliptical posteriors in a model for the effect of education on income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504938
An efficient and accurate approach is proposed for forecasting Value at Risk [VaR] and Expected Shortfall [ES] measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377096
investment strategy including transaction costs. Another empirical example refers to forecasting US economic growth over the … business cycle. It suggests that time varying combination schemes may be very useful in business cycle analysis and forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378346
Interconnections between Eurozone and United States booms and busts and among major Eurozone economies are analyzed using a Panel Markov-Switching VAR model. The model accommodates changes in low and high data frequencies and incorporates endogenous time-varying transition matrices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724346
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720705