The objective of this paper is to determine whether information from equity markets, as summarized in the distance to default measure derived from Merton-MKMV, is useful for modeling and predicting bank credit ratings. We use the BankScope database and Bloomberg to build a data set comprising of...

We calibrate a simulation model of credit value-at-risk for mortgage lending to UK experience. Simulations to capture the skewness of returns that might arise in the context of a financial crisis suggest that the IRB calculations of the new Basel Accord can substantially understate prudential...