Das Handbuch zur deutschen Europapolitik erscheint in Zeiten multipler Krisen und wachsender Skepsis gegenüber der engen Verflechtung Deutschlands mit dem EU-System. Es zeigt, dass europäische Politik von besonderem Wert und Nutzen für die politische und ökonomische Wirklichkeit Deutschlands...

This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand function. The out-of sample...

Survey-based indicators such as the consumer confidence are widely seen as leading indicators for economic activity, especially for the future path of private consumption. Although they receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power appears to be very limited. Therefore, this paper...