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The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices – Evidence for the MENA Countries

Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2013

This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African …, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While global prices are weakly exogenous, consumer prices respond to deviations …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073247

The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices : Evidence for the MENA Countries

Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073555

Price Convergence in the Enlarged Internal Market

Dreger, Christian - 2009

In this paper we investigate the effects of EU enlargement on price convergence. The internal market is expected to boost integration and increase efficiency and welfare through a convergence of prices in product markets. Two principal drivers are crucial to explain price developments. On the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159413

On the Stability of the German Beveridge Curve: A Spatial Econometric Perspective

Kosfeld, Reinhold; Dreger, Christian; Eckey, Hans-Friedrich - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2006

In this paper, the framework of the aggregated Beveridge curve is used to investigate the effectiveness of the job matching process using German regional labour market data. For a fixed matching technology, the Beveridge curve postulates a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822642

Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet Schwächephase: Wintergrundlinien 2014

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 81 (2014) 51/52, pp. 1295-1305

projected to remain low, with 0.9 percent in 2014, 0.7 percent in 2015 and 1.4 percent in 2016. The growth rate of the global …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261769

Aufschwung bei gedämpfter Weltkonjunktur: Frühjahrsgrundlinien 2015

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 82 (2015) 11, pp. 219-247

substantially dampened by the slump in oil prices; in 2016 as well, inflation will remain low, at 1.2 percent. The global economy … structurally burdensome factors: In the crisis-stricken countries in particular, unemployment remains high and the public and … average annual growth rate of the global economy is expected to be 3.8 percent in 2015, with an increase to 4.0 percent in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011203025

Upswing in a Subdued Global Economy: DIW Economic Outlook

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 5 (2015) 11, pp. 151-157

. The global economy continues in its recovery. In industrialized countries, a gradually improving situation in labor … lag behind. Overall, the average annual growth rate of the global economy is expected to be 3.8 percent in 2015, and 4 …; important markets have lost momentum when compared to the pre-crisis years - foreign trade is therefore likely to provide only …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011204434

Frühjahrsgrundlinien 2011

Fichtner, Ferdinand; Bernoth, Kerstin; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 78 (2011) 14/15, pp. 2-24

Das DIW Berlin prognostiziert für die deutsche Wirtschaft für 2011 ein Wachstum von 2,7 Prozent, im Jahr 2012 dürfte der Zuwachs noch 1,4 Prozent betragen. Besonders im ersten Vierteljahr 2011 dürfte bei der Wirtschaftsleistung ein deutliches Plus von knapp einem Prozent gegenüber dem...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008917872

Verbraucherumfragen für Konsumprognosen besser nutzen

Dreger, Christian; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - In: DIW Wochenbericht 78 (2011) 28, pp. 3-8

Mehr als die Hälfte des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Euroraum wird für den privaten Verbrauch verwendet. Daher kommt der Genauigkeit von Konsumprognosen eine besondere Bedeutung zu. Da der Konsum maßgeblich von den Stimmungen der Akteure beeinflusst wird, weist die Europäische Kommission...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009210945

An Early Warning System to Predict the House Price Bubbles

Dreger, Christian; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2011

In this paper, we construct the country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1- 2010:Q2. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental and a filter approaches. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216692