Showing 1 - 10 of 152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001712654
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002419372
This paper discusses a large-scale factor model for the German economy. Following the recent literature, a data set of 121 time series is used via principal component analysis to determine the factors, which enter a dynamic model for German GDP. The model is compared with alternative univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014107530
This paper discusses a large-scale factor model for the German economy. Following the recent literature, a data set of 121 time series is used via principal component analysis to determine the factors, which enter a dynamic model for German GDP. The model is compared with alternative univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064731
addition, we suggest an early warning system based on three alternative approaches: signalling approach, logit and probit … signalling approach. The prediction accuracy of the logit and probit models is high enough to make them useful in forecasting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013430497
Monetary growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since several years. At the same time, the money demand function seems to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518893
Monetary growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since several years. At the same time, the money demand function seems to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384244
Monetary growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since several years. At the same time, the money demand function seems to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818904