This paper proposes two dimension-reduction and forecasting quantile methods (i.e., the quantile group lasso and the quantile group SCAD models) to predict carbon futures returns and investigate the predictability of a comprehensive group of factors including market fundamental variables and...

We premise and model the dynamic interdependence between energy and carbon prices in Phase III of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) in a heterogeneous impulse-response setting. Our research framework is based on the proposition that energy prices (e.g., oil, natural gas, and...