Showing 1 - 7 of 7
The effect of model and parameter misspecification on the effectiveness of Gaussian hedging strategies for derivative financial instruments is analyzed, showing that Gaussian hedges in the `natural'' hedging instruments are particularly robust. This is true for all models that imply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005841332
It is well-known that Gaussian hedging strategies are robust in the sense that they always lead to a cost process of bounded variation and that a superhedge is possible if upper bounds on the volatility of the relevant processes are available, cf. El Karoui, Jeanblanc-Picque and Shreve (1998)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005842793
Determining good parameter estimates in ESTAR models is known to be difficult. We showthat the phenomena of getting strongly biased estimators is a consequence of the so-calledidentication problem, the problem of properly distinguishing the transition function in relationto extreme parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009284848
While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-runconcept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economicbelief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing timeseries models, i.e. the exponential smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302598
We study the empirical behaviour of semi-parametric log-periodogram estimation forlong memory models when the true process exhibits a change in persistence. Simulationresults confirm theoretical arguments which suggest that evidence for long memory islikely to be found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302607
It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861273
We show that tests for a break in the persistence of a time series in the classicalI(0) - I(1) framework have serious size distortions when the actual data generatingprocess exhibits long-range dependencies. We prove that the limiting distributionof a CUSUM of squares based test depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005867433