"This article presents a non-Markovian regime switching model in which the regime states depend on the sign of an autoregressive latent variable. The magnitude of the latent variable indexes the 'strength' of the state or how deeply the system is embedded in the current regime. In this model,...

This article presents a non-Markovian regime switching model in which the regime states depend on the sign of an autoregressive latent variable. The magnitude of the latent variable indexes the `strength' of the state or how deeply the system is embedded in the current regime. In this model,...

Lubik and Schorfheide (2004) extend estimated DSGE models to address monetary policy indeterminacy. Their method leads to an all-or-none classification of a time period as having determinate or indeterminate monetary policy. Sub-sample estimates indicate, however, that U.S. monetary policy might...