In this study we have addressed the relationship between the stock market, the measure of real economic activity (represented by the real GDP), the economic sentiment indicator, and real interest rate for the five European countries: Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the UK. We find...

This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...

The paper evaluates the quality of the German national accounting data (GDP and its use-side components) as measured by the magnitude and dispersion of the forecast/ revision errors. It is demonstrated that government consumption series are the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private...

Der Rückgang der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen, der Ende 2000 begonnen hatte, setzte sich bis zum zweiten Quartal dieses Jahres fort. Die Ausrüstungsinvestitionen sind saisonbereinigt von 45,1 Mrd. Euro im vierten Quartal 2000 auf 38,3 Mrd. Euro im zweiten Quartal dieses Jahres gesunken. Dies ist...

Im März 2000 hatte die Hausse an der Börse ihren Höhepunkt erreicht; der Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) notierte zu dieser Zeit 8 000 Punkte. Die anschließende Talfahrt der Aktienkurse hielt, unterbrochen von vorübergehenden Erholungsphasen, drei Jahre an, in denen der DAX auf 2 200 Punkte...

We apply the novel approach of Siliverstovs (2015) to modelling data sampled at different frequencies in order to scrutinise the composition of one of the most influential economic indicators in Switzerland. The Purchasing Managers' Index consists of eight sub-indices out of which only five...

In this paper we extend the targeted-regressor approach suggested in Bai and Ng (2008) for variables sampled at the same frequency to mixed-frequency data. Our MIDASSO approach is a combination of the unrestricted MIxed-frequency DAta-Sampling approach (U-MIDAS) (see Foroni et al., 2015; Castle et...